Stratospheric Modelling & Chemical Weather

We contribute to the development of the ECMWF IFS model for the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) by implementing and developing the stratospheric chemistry module which was originally developed for BASCOE. This allows CAMS to provide forecasts - and eventually analyses - of the chemical compounds which cause ozone depletion in the stratosphere, and enables a better monitoring of the ozone layer.

 IFS BASCOE illustration for press release v4 EN

The first succesful implementation was described by Huijnen et al. (Geophys. Model Dev., 2016). On 27 June 2023, an updated implementation (IFS Cycle 48R1) became operational to generate the CAMS near-real time analyses and short-term forecasts. This achievement is explained in more detail in a press release. The model implementation was described and validated by Eskes et al. (Atmos. Chem. Phys., 2024).

The latest developments include:

  • Changes in Polar Stratospheric Clouds parameterization and improvements of ozone hole forecasts (Chabrillat et al., 2023).
  • Optimization of the calculation of the photodissociation rates in the stratosphere in the BASCOE module of the IFS-COMPO (Minganti et al., 2024).
  • Coupling of stratospheric aerosol and chemistry in IFS-COMPO: use of online aerosol information in the stratospheric heterogeneous chemistry (Bingen et al., 2024)

This work is currently done under contract CAMS2_35 (2021-2024). This first contract for initial implementation was CAMS_42 (2016-2021).

Currently contributing scientists are Simon Chabrillat, Daniele Minganti and Christine Bingen in BIRA-IASB team D34.